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| 1 | Active tectonic blocks and strong earthquakes in the continent of China显示文摘The primary pattern of the late Cenozoic to the present tectonic deformation of China is characterized by relative movements and interactions of tectonic blocks. Active tectonic blocks are geological units that have been separated from each other by active tectonic zones. Boundaries between blocks are the highest gradient of differential movement. Most of tectonic activity occurs on boundaries of the blocks. Earthquakes are results of abrupt releases of accumulated strain energy that reaches the threshold of strength of the earth's crust. Boundaries of tectonic blocks are the locations of most discontinuous deformation and highest gradient of stress accumulation, thus are the most likely places for strain energy accumulation and releases, and in turn, devastating earthquakes. Almost all earthquakes of magnitude greater than 8 and 80%-90% of earthquakes of magnitude over 7 occur along boundaries of active tectonic blocks. This fact indicates that differential movements and interactions of active tectonic blocks are the primary mechanism for the occurrences of devastating earthquakes. | ZHANG Peizhen (张培震) DENG Qidong (邓起东) ZHANG Guomin (张国民) MA Jin (马 瑾) GAN Weijun (甘卫军) MIN Wei (闵 伟) MAO Fengying (毛凤英) WANG Qi (王 琪) | 2003 | Science China Earth Sciences2003，46，z2： | 239 |
| 2 | Focal depth research of earthquakes in China's Mainland: Implication for tectonics显示文摘Focal depth data of earthquakes in China's Mainland are processed and analyzed in this paper, as well as the relationship between the focal depths and large-scale tectonic structures. As a basic parameter for earthquakes, focal depth is used to investigate deep environment of seis-mogenic regions, tectonic backgrounds for concentration and release of seismic energy, the inner crustal deformation and its mechanic features. Depth data of 31282 ML≥2.0 events with 1st class and 2nd class precision in China's Mainland from Jan. 1, 1970 to May 31, 2000 are used to get spatial features of earthquakes distributed with depth and to provide average depth for each grid area throughout China. Researches show that the average depth (D) for all the earthquakes used in this paper is (16±7) km, and (13±6) km and (18±8) km for the events in eastern China and western China, respectively. The area with the deepest focal depth is located in southwest Xinjiang region, near the western and southwestern ends of the Tarim | ZHANG Guomin WANG Suyun LI Li ZHANG Xiaodong MA Hongsheng | 2002 | Chinese Science Bulletin2002，47，12： | 38 |
| 3 | Quercetin induces apoptosis by activating caspase-3 and regulating Bcl-2 and cyclooxygenase-2 pathways in human HL-60 cells显示文摘橡黄素是自然地发生之一饮食的黄酮醇混合物。它在植物富有地是在场的并且有 chemopreventive 和 anticancer 效果。调查它的 anticancer 机制,我们对尖锐白血病房间线检验了橡黄素的活动, HL-60。我们的结果证明橡黄素禁止了房间增长并且在一个时间依赖者和剂量依赖者举止导致了 apoptosis。而且,橡黄素下面调整 anti-apoptosis 蛋白质 Bcl-2 的表示并且起来调整 pro-apoptosis 蛋白质 Bax 的表示。Caspase-3 被橡黄素也激活,它开始了一条 caspase-3-depended mitochodrial 小径导致 apoptosis。橡黄素禁止了 cycloocygenase-2 (Cox-2 ) 的表示,这也被发现 mRNA 和 Cox-2 蛋白质。一起拿,这些调查结果建议橡黄素由禁止 Cox-2 表示在一条 caspase-3-dependent 小径导致 apoptosis 并且调整下游的 apoptotic 部件的表示,包括 Bcl-2 和 Bax。橡黄素能是可能安全地在白血病治疗被使用的一个有势力和有希望的药。 | Guomin Niu Songmei Yin Shuangfeng Xie Yiqing Li Danian Nie Liping Ma Xiuju Wang Yudan Wu | 2011 | Acta Biochimica et Biophysica Sinica2011，43，1： | 28 |
| 4 | Hypoxia-regulated microRNAs in human cancer显示文摘 | Guomin SHEN Xiaobo LI Yong-feng JIA Gary A PIAZZA Yaguang XI | 2013 | Acta Pharmacologica Sinica2013，34，3： | 18 |
| 5 | Additive manufacturing of high-strength CrMnFeCoNi high-entropy alloys-based composites with WC addition显示文摘Laser melting deposition with WC addition has been developed to fabricate high-strength CrMnFeCoNibased high-entropy alloys-based composites.By this technique,a microstructure of compact refined equiaxed grains can be achieved,and the tensile strength can be remarkably improved.The sample with 5 wt%WC addition shows a promising mechanical performance with a tensile strength of 800 MPa and an elongation of 37%.The improvement in mechanical property may be attributed to the formation of Cr(23)C6 reinforcement precipitates,which could promote the heterogeneous nucleation of grains and hinder the propagation of slip bands. | Jinfeng Li Shuo Xiang Hengwei Luan Abdukadir Amar Xue Liu Siyuan Lu Yangyang Zeng Guomin Le Xiaoying Wang Fengsheng Qu Chunli Jiang Guannan Yang | 2019 | Journal of Materials Science & Technology2019，35，11： | 13 |
| 6 | Removal of Crystal Violet from aqueous solution using powdered mycelial biomass of Ceriporia lacerata P2显示文摘A biosorbent prepared from powdered mycelial biomass of Ceriporia lacerata (CLB), a basidiomycetous fungus, was applied for the uptake of Crystal Violet from aqueous solution. A batch adsorption experiment was used for the biosorption process, involving effect of experimental factors and biosorption kinetics and equilibrium. Biosorption process showed that the removal of Crystal Violet by CLB was effective over wide pH range, and meanwhile was independent on ionic strength. Biosorption capacities of CLB increased with the initial dye concentration increasing, due to an increase in the driving force of the concentration gradient. The adsorbed Crystal Violet amount per unit biomass weight decreased with increasing biosorbent dosage, due to the splitting effect of flux (concentration gradient) between sorbate and biosorbent. A maximum sorption capacity of 239.25 mg/g was observed. Biosorption kinetics was found to be best represented by the pseudo second-order kinetic model. The equilibrium adsorption data was well described by the Koble-Corrigan model. FT-IR (Fourier Transform Infrared Spetroscopy) spectrum showed the presence of O-H, COOH, C=O, C-N, C-H, -NH2 and P-OH in the surface of CLB as functional groups. This study showed CLB can effectively remove CV from dye wastewater. | Yonghui Lin Xingbing He Guomin Han Qijian Tian Wenyong Hu | 2011 | Journal of Environmental Sciences2011，23，12： | 11 |
| 7 | THE PERFORMANCE OF GLOBAL MODELS IN TC TRACK FORECASTING OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC FROM 2010 TO 2012显示文摘Forecasts of tropical cyclone(TC)tracks from six global models during 2010 and 2012 were assessed to study the current capability of track forecast guidance over the western North Pacific.To measure the performance of the global model forecasts,a series of statistical evaluations of track forecasts up to 120 h were carried out,including the mean,median,percentile distribution,regional distribution,relative position,correlation analysis,and binned analysis.Results showed that certain improvements have been made for the six global models in their prediction accuracy and stability in the past three years.Remarkably,stepped decreases in the values of each quantile were found at all lead time levels from 2010 to 2012 for NCEP-GFS.An analysis of the regional distribution of position errors showed that a high-latitude region,low-latitude region(which covers mostly the TC genesis region)and the South China Sea are the three main areas within which large errors tend to concentrate.The majority of the models show their own respective characteristics of systematic bias at each lead time,as established through the relative position analysis results.Only the results of NCEP-GFS and CMA-T639 did not show any obvious systematic bias in the three-year study period.Binned analyses indicated that the prediction accuracy and stability of most of the models were better for strong TCs than for weak TCs at short lead time levels.It was also found that the models tend to perform better for initially large TCs,or for those with weak vertical wind shear at lead times shorter than 48 h.The results demonstrate the heavy reliance of forecast errors upon the initial characteristics of a TC or its environmental conditions. | Guomin Chen Hui Yu Qing Cao Zhihua Zeng | 2013 | Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2013，2，3： | 11 |
| 8 | Resistance reduction by bionic coupling of the earthworm lubrication function显示文摘Based on the biological coupling theory, the resistance reduction characteristic of the surface morphology and surface wettability of the earthworm were studied in this paper. The parameters of surface dorsal pore and corrugation were extracted. According to these parameters, the lubrication mechanism of the earthworm surface was analyzed. The distribution of the pores and surface morphology were designed and the bionic coupling samples were prepared. The positive pressure, lubricant flow rate and advancing velocity were selected as the experiment factors while the soil friction resistance as observed object. According to the obtained data of bionic coupling samples from the testing system of biologic signal for tiny soil adhesion test, the optimal samples from the bionic coupling resistance reduction tests were selected through the range analysis. Compared to the normal ones, the soil resistance of bionic coupling samples was reduced by 76.8%. This is of great significance and offers bright prospects for reducing energy loss in terrain mechanics. | LI JianQiao*, KOU BingXue, LIU GuoMin, FAN WenFeng & LIU LinLin Key Laboratory of Bionic Engineering (Jilin University), Ministry of Education of China, Changchun 130022, China | 2010 | Science China(Technological Sciences)2010，53，11： | 10 |
| 9 | Aqueous-phase catalytic hydrogenation of furfural to cyclopentanol over Cu-Mg-Al hydrotalcites derived catalysts:Model reaction for upgrading of bio-oil显示文摘A series of Cu-Mg-Al hydrotalcites derived oxides with a(Cu+Mg)/Al mole ratio of 3 and varied Cu/Mg mole ratio(from 0.07 to 0.30) were prepared by co-precipitation and calcination methods, then they were introduced to the hydrogenation of furfural in aqueous-phase. Effects of Cu/Mg mole ratio, reaction temperature, initial hydrogen pressure, reaction time and catalyst amount on the conversion rate of furfural as well as the selectivity toward desired product cyclopentanol were systematically investigated. The conversion of furfural over calcined hydrotalcite catalyst with a Cu/Mg mole ratio of 0.2 was up to 98.5% when the reaction was carried out under 140 ?C and the initial hydrogen pressure of 4 MPa for 10 h, while the selectivity toward cyclopentanol was up to 94.8%. The catalysts were characterized by XRD and SEM. XRD diffraction of all the samples showed characteristic pattern of hydrotalcite with varied peak intensity as a result of different Cu content. The catalytic activity was improved gradually with the increase of Cu component in the hydrotalcite. | Minghao Zhou Zuo Zeng Hongyan Zhu Guomin Xiao Rui Xiao | 2014 | Journal of Energy Chemistry2014，23，1： | 9 |
| 10 | Analysis of genetic architecture and favorable allele usage of agronomic traits in a large collection of Chinese rice accessions显示文摘Genotyping and phenotyping large natural populations provide opportunities for population genomic analysis and genome-wide association studies(GWAS). Several rice populations have been re-sequenced in the past decade;however, many major Chinese rice cultivars were not included in these studies. Here, we report large-scale genomic and phenotypic datasets for a collection mainly comprised of 1,275 rice accessions of widely planted cultivars and parental hybrid rice lines from China. The population was divided into three indica/Xian and three japonica/Geng phylogenetic subgroups that correlate strongly with their geographic or breeding origins. We acquired a total of 146 phenotypic datasets for 29 agronomic traits under multi-environments for different subpopulations. With GWAS, we identified a total of 143 significant association loci, including three newly identified candidate genes or alleles that control heading date or amylose content. Our genotypic analysis of agronomically important genes in the population revealed that many favorable alleles are underused in elite accessions, suggesting they may be used to provide improvements in future breeding efforts. Our study provides useful resources for rice genetics research and breeding. | Xiuxiu Li Zhuo Chen Guomin Zhang Hongwei Lu Peng Qin Ming Qi Ying Yu Bingke Jiao Xianfeng Zhao Qiang Gao Hao Wang Yunyu Wu Juntao Ma Liyan Zhang Yongli Wang Lingwei Deng Shanguo Yao Zhukuang Cheng Diqiu Yu Lihuang Zhu Yongbiao Xue Chengcai Chu Aihong Li Shigui Li Chengzhi Liang | 2020 | Science China(Life Sciences)2020，63，11： | 8 |
| 11 | Dynamic simulation of interactions between major earthquakes on the Xianshuihe fault zone显示文摘The authors firstly evaluate the strain accumulation rate of the Xianshuihe fault zone based on earth- quake activity. We calculated the stress and seismic moment accumulation rate for each subsection of the Xianshuihe fault zone based on the distribution of geological slip rate and GPS survey results. According to the results, we get the recurrence intervals of characterized earthquakes on each sub- section respectively. A three-dimensional finite element model for western Sichuan is constructed to discuss the earthquakes triggering among major earthquakes (M>6.7) that occurred along the Xianshuihe fault zone since 1893. The calculated Coulomb failure stress changes (ΔCFS) show that 5 of the 6 earthquakes with Ms>6.7 were triggered by positive ΔCFS. The interactions between major earthquakes not only influence recurrence intervals of characterized earthquakes on each subsection, but also change recurrence behavior of major earthquakes along the whole fault zone. | WANG Hui LIU Jie SHI YaoLin ZHANG Huai ZHANG GuoMin | 2008 | Science China Earth Sciences2008，51，10： | 8 |
| 12 | Evaluation of groundwater quality in the Xinjiang Plain Area显示文摘Groundwater is the main source of drinking water for the urban and rural residents in the plain area of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China.The quality of groundwater has a direct relationship with human health.Thus,386 groundwater samples collected from April to August in 2003 were analyzed.The samples were collected in basic evaluation units which are determined on the basis of watersheds.Total dissolved solids,total hardness,pH value,NH3–N,C6H5OH,Chemiluminescence detection of permanganate index(CODMn)and intestinal germ group were evaluated according to the guidelines of Groundwater Quality Standard(GB/T14848-93).The quality of the groundwater in each evaluation unit was classified by using the One Veto Method(a unified approach stipulated by the Ministry of Water Resources).The results indicate that the groundwater in the mainstream area of the Tarim Basin and the Yerqiang River Sub-basin belongs to Category V;the groundwater in the Wulungu River Sub-basin,the KaiduKongque River Sub-basin,the Kashgar River Sub-basin,the Cherchen River Sub-basin and the Hotan River Subbasin belongs to Category IV;the groundwater in the Aibi Lake System belongs to Category II,and the groundwater of other evaluation units belongs to Category III.The causes of water quality formation were concisely analyzed.The results can be useful for the evaluation and management of water resources in the Xinjiang Plain Area. | Jinlong ZHOU Xinguang DONG Guomin LI Yiping WANG Xiaojing GUO | 2010 | Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering2010，4，2： | 8 |
| 13 | Insight into the temperature sensitivity of forest litter decomposition and soil enzymes in subtropical forest in China显示文摘Aims With the continuing increase in the impact of human activities on ecosystems,ecologists are increasingly interested in understanding the effects of high temperature on litter decomposition since litter decomposition and the accompanying release of nutrients and carbon dioxide are key processes in ecosystem nutrient cycling and carbon flux.This study was conducted to evaluate the temperature sensitivity of forest litter decomposition and soil enzymes during litter decomposition in subtropical forest in China.Methods Two dominant litter types were chosen from Zijin Mountain in China:Quercus acutissima leaves from a broadleaf forest(BF)and Pinus massoniana needles from a coniferous forest(CF).The litter samples were incubated in soil microcosms at ambient control temperature(20 C)and 10 C warmer.During a 5-month incubation,chemical composition of litter samples,litter mass losses,and related soil enzyme activities were determined.Important Findings Three main results were found:(i)high temperature accelerated decomposition rates of both litter types,and the temperature sensitivities of litter decomposition for BF leaves and that for CF needles are equivalent basically,(ii)high temperature enhanced soil enzyme activities in the two forest types,and the temperature sensitivities of polyphenol oxidase were significantly higher than those of the other soil enzymes and(iii)the temperature sensitivities of nitrate reductase were significantly higher in the CF soil than in the BF soil,while there was no significant difference in the temperature sensitivities of the other soil enzymes between BF and CF.As a long-term consequence,the high-temperature-induced acceleration of litter decomposition rates in these subtropical forests may cause carbon stored belowground to be transferred in the atmosphere,which may alter the balance between carbon uptake and release,and then alter the global carbon cycle in the coming decades. | Congyan Wang Guomin Han Yong Jia Xiaoguang Feng Xingjun Tian | 2012 | Journal of Plant Ecology2012，5，3： | 8 |
| 14 | Characterization and complete genome sequence of vB_EcoP-Bp4,a novel polyvalent N4-like bacteriophage that infects chicken pathogenic Escherichia coli显示文摘Dear Editor,Pathogenic Escherichia coli cause chicken colibacillosis,which is economically devastating to the poultry industry worldwide(Bagheri et al.,2014).Owing to increasing antibiotic resistance,phage therapy reagents have been developed to treat bacterial infections(Xu et al.,2015).Coliphage N4 is the first reported phage in the'N4-like viruses'genus and the only member recognized | Can Zhang Yanxiang Ma Ting Wang Huzhi Sun Guomin Lu Huiying Ren | 2016 | Virologica Sinica2016，31，4： | 7 |
| 15 | Effectiveness of Catch-Up Vaccinations after COVID-19 Containment--China,2020显示文摘Introduction:In the early stages of the coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)epidemic in China,the highest level of public health emergency response(Level 1 Response)was launched in all province-level administrative divisions(PLADs)across the country.Provision of vaccination services was selectively suspended due to the physical distancing and gathering restrictions required of Level 1 Response.The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on vaccination services and the effectiveness of selective vaccination service suspension and catch-up vaccinations in China.Methods:Vaccine doses administered,routine vaccination coverage levels,catch-up vaccine doses administered,and coverage levels after the catch-up campaign were determined from individual vaccination records in sampled clinics,standard routine immunization administrative coverage reports,and catch-up vaccination activity reports submitted by PLADs between October 2019 and October 2020.Results:National Immunization Program(NIP)and non-NIP vaccine doses administered in sampled clinics decreased by 80% and 90%,respectively,compared with doses administered before the COVID-19 pandemic.Coverage with the birth dose of hepatitis B vaccine(HepB1)and the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccine(BCG)—two vaccinations recommended to continue throughout the epidemic due to their timecritical nature—were maintained at over 85%,while coverage of other NIP vaccines decreased to below 60%by February 2020.Catch-up vaccination coverage of the 29 PLADs,excluding Xinjiang and Xizang(Tibet),began in April 2020 and exceeded 90%;Hubei catch-up coverage was 95% by October 2020.Conclusions and Implications for Public Health Practice:The COVID-19 pandemic had a great impact on China’s vaccination services.During the epidemic and time of local transmission of the coronavirus,HepB1,BCG,rabies vaccine for postexposure prophylaxis,and tetanus antitoxin(TAT)for wound prophylaxis were maintained at high levels.Of the 69 million vaccine doses postponed during the time of local transmission of the coronavirus,94% were administered in the catch-up campaign.China’s pandemic immunization practices may provide evidence for other countries’immunization programs. | Jing Wu Wenzhou Yu Lei Cao Lingsheng Cao Lance Rodewald Jiakai Ye Yifan Song Li Li Xiaoxue Liu Ning Wen Fuzhen Wang Lixin Hao Yixing Li Hui Zheng Keli Li Chao Ma Dan Wu Yanmin Liu Guomin Zhang Zhijie An Huaqing Wang Zundong Yin | 2020 | China CDC weekly2020，2，50： | 6 |
| 16 | Three-dimensional cell culture models for investigating human viruses显示文摘Three-dimensional(3D) culture models are physiologically relevant, as they provide reproducible results, experimental flexibility and can be adapted for high-throughput experiments. Moreover,these models bridge the gap between traditional two-dimensional(2D) monolayer cultures and animal models. 3D culture systems have significantly advanced basic cell science and tissue engineering, especially in the fields of cell biology and physiology, stem cell research, regenerative medicine, cancer research, drug discovery, and gene and protein expression studies. In addition,3D models can provide unique insight into bacteriology, virology, parasitology and host-pathogen interactions. This review summarizes and analyzes recent progress in human virological research with 3D cell culture models. We discuss viral growth, replication, proliferation, infection, virus-host interactions and antiviral drugs in 3D culture models. | Bing He Guomin Chen Yi Zeng | 2016 | Virologica Sinica2016，31，5： | 5 |
| 17 | Influence of fault geometry and fault interaction on strain partitioning within western Sichuan and its adjacent region显示文摘There are several major active fault zones in the western Sichuan and its vicinity. Slip rates and seismicity vary on different fault zones. For example, slip rates on the Xianshuihe fault zone are higher than 10 mm/a. Its seismicity is also intense. Slip rates on the Longmenshan fault zone are low. However, Wenchuan Ms8.0 earthquake occurred on this fault zone in 2008. Here we study the impact of fault geometry on strain partitioning in the western Sichuan region using a three-dimensional viscoe- lastoplastic model. We conclude that the slip partitioning on the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault presents as segmented, and it is related to fault geometry and fault structure. Slip rate is high on fault segment with simple geometry and structure, and vice versa. Strain rate outside the fault is localized around the fault segment with complex geometry and fault structure. Strain partitioning on the central section of the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault zone is influenced by the interaction between the Anninghe-Zemuhe fault and the Daliangshan fault zone. Striking of the Longmenshan fault zone is nearly orthogonal to the direction of eastward extrusion in the Tibetan Plateau. It leads to low slip rate on the fault zone. | WANG Hui LIU Jie SHEN XuHui LIU Mian LI QingSong SHI YaoLin ZHANG GuoMin | 2010 | Science China Earth Sciences2010，53，7： | 5 |
| 18 | Accelerated methane storage in clathrate hydrates using surfactantstabilized suspension with graphite nanoparticles显示文摘In this study,enhanced kinetics of methane hydrate formation in the sodium dodecyl sulfate(SDS)solution with different concentrations of suspended graphite nanoparticles(GNPs)were investigated at 6.1-9.0 MPa and 274.15 K.The GNPs with rough surfaces and excellent thermal conductivity not only provided a considerable number of microsites for hydrate nucleation but also facilitated the fast hydrate heat transfer in the suspension system.At a relatively low pressure of 6.1 MPa,the suspension with 0.4 wt%of GNPs exhibited the minimum induction time of 22 min and maximum methane uptake of 126.1 cm3·cm-3.However,the methane storage performances of the suspensions with higher and lower concentrations of GNPs were not satisfactory.At the applied pressure,the temperature increase arising from the hydrate heat in the suspension system with the optimized concentration(0.4 wt%)of GNPs was more significant than that in the traditional SDS solution.Furthermore,compared with those of the system without GNPs,enhanced hydration rate and storage capacity were achieved in the suspensions with GNPs,and the storage capacities were increased by 3.9%-17.0%.The promotion effect of GNPs on gas hydrate formation at low pressure is much more obvious than that at high pressure. | Liang Yang Xin Wang Daoping Liu Guomin Cui Binlin Dou Juan Wang Shuqing Hao | 2020 | Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering2020，28，4： | 4 |
| 19 | Simulation and optimization for a 30-MeV electron accelerator driven neutron source显示文摘A neutron source driven by electron accelerator is proposed in Shanghai Institute of Applied Physics (SINAP). The facility is planned for the study of nuclear data in Thorium-Uranium cycling system, and for material research. A detailed simulation of the neutron source is performed for the program to get the neutron generation maximum economically. Several parameters of the facility, which affect the neutron yield and the neutron escape from outer surface of the target, are analyzed respectively. Besides, the yielding neutron spectrum and the escaping neutron angular distribution are calculated and discussed. | LIN Zuokang SUN Guomin CHEN Jingen LIU Guimin DAI Zhimin | 2012 | Nuclear Science and Techniques2012，23，5： | 4 |
| 20 | PERFORMANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST IN WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC IN 2016显示文摘The forecasts of tropical cyclones(TC) in 2016 from 5 official guidances, 5 global models, 3 regional models and 6 ensemble systems were assessed to study the current capabilities of track and intensity forecasts for the western North Pacific. In 2016, the position errors for each official agency were under 85, 150 and 250 km at the lead times of 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively,indicating the performance of track forecasts was a little worse than that in 2015. For each lead time, decreases were seen for each quantile value of the global models from 2010 to 2015; however, this progress in forecasts was stagnated or was reversed in 2016, especially for long lead times.A new error tracking tool,called a 'Track Error Rose',was used to visualize the spatial distributions of the track forecast error relative to the observed TC center. The results show that as lead time increases, the moving speed of most global model TC forecasts becomes slower than those of the observations, and the largest track error often appears to the south of the observation position. In 2016, JMA-GSM, NCEP-GFS, STI-GRAPES and UKMO-MetUM made considerable progress in their intensity forecasts at lead times of 24 and 48 h, and the EPS intensity forecasts made significant progress compared to those of 2015. | GUOMIN CHEN XIPING ZHANG PEIYAN CHEN HUI YU RIJIN WAN | 2017 | Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2017，6，1： | 4 |
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